The line before the line.
Fair prices for football, hockey, tennis and NBA, fitted to market closing lines and published before the sharp market opens.
A selection of the bets found with The Line terminal.
Cancel any time ·Pay by card or crypto ·No account needed for the preview
Inside the terminals
Examples from the member terminals: tournament and season simulators, prop angles and current prices next to our fair price.
| Player | R16 | QF | SF | W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (2) Alcaraz | 1.23 | 1.33 | 1.54 | 2.63 |
| (1) Zverev | 1.11 | 1.52 | 1.89 | 5.00 |
| (3) Medvedev | 1.20 | 1.54 | 2.13 | 7.69 |
| (5) De Minaur | 1.45 | 2.33 | 3.13 | 18.2 |
| Club | Market | Prob | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough favourite | Winner | 33% | 3.06 |
| West Ham | Top 2 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Swansea outsider | Top 2 | 6% | 15.43 |
| Norwich long shot | Winner | 0.8% | 130 |
| Preston | Bottom 3 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Derby | Bottom 3 | 45% | 2.23 |
| Club | Pts | Top 8 | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 6 | 93% | 19.3 |
| Barcelona | 6 | 92% | 19.1 |
| Arsenal | 6 | 90% | 18.7 |
| Bayern Munich | 4 | 71% | 16.6 |
Closing line value
How it works
Closing lines in
We keep the closing price of every settled market we collect. That is what the models are fitted to and measured against.
One model per league
Team strength, home edge, surface and rest are solved so the model lands on the closing lines it has already seen.
A price before the market
A fair price, a full ladder and a simulation for each upcoming match, re-run as results and closing lines come in.
Football and Tennis
CLV-graded match prices and outright simulators are the core of the membership.
What you get
Football
- CLV-graded match prices: fair prices fitted to closing lines, with every flagged bet graded publicly at /clv.
- Outright simulators: football seasons and Champions, Europa and Conference League league phases.
Tennis
- CLV-graded match prices: fair prices fitted to closing lines, with every flagged bet graded publicly at /clv.
- Outright simulators: the tennis draw simulator.
Bonuses included
For now, at no extra cost.
- NBA player props
- Hockey terminal
- Selected Private Model bets
New-bet alerts on Telegram
Football
41 leagues, three European cups and 253 national teams.
- Fair 1X2, Asian handicap ladder and over/under ladder
- Shows whether the market has opened
- League season simulator with position probabilities and points lines
- UEFA league-phase and Nations League simulators
Hockey
20 leagues. SHL, Liiga, DEL, KHL, NL, Extraliga, CHL.
- Regulation-time puck line, 1X2 and totals ladders
- Moneyline including overtime
- Season simulator with playoff probabilities
- Schedule with fair lines and market open status
Tennis
ATP and WTA singles.
- Market-anchored rating per player with surface offsets
- Fair moneyline
- Tournament bracket simulator with locked results
- Laver Cup simulator and player form
Outrights and who it's for
Why people trust the numbers
Every price is logged before kick-off and compared with the market's closing line after.
Ratings, chain model and simulations are explained on each sport page.
We publish fair prices. You decide what a gap is worth.
Not a bookmaker, no affiliate links, we never take bets.
Who it's for
Check any price against a fair number before you take it.
An early, independent line for lower leagues and thin markets. API on request.
See what the odds you're offered should be.
Pricing
Football and Tennis for €49 a month, with bonuses included at no extra cost for now. Cancel any time. Questions? Our Telegram support answers within hours.
- Football and Tennis: CLV-graded match prices and outright simulators
- Bonuses included: NBA player props, Hockey terminal, Selected Private Model bets
- New-bet alerts on Telegram
- Pay by card, Apple Pay or crypto
- Free preview, no card needed