Fair odds for every round
The simulator plays the remaining draw thousands of times. Every open match uses the market's no-vig price where the market has opened it, and our player ratings (with surface offsets and rest penalties) where it has not. Completed results lock as they come in, so the odds move round by round.
Each player gets a fair Yes/No price to reach every remaining round and to win the event, so it can be compared directly with a bookmaker's Yes/No futures.
Illustration of the method, not betting advice.
Market-anchored ratings
Every ATP and WTA singles player carries a rating fitted directly to closing prices, with clay and grass offsets and penalties for short rest between matches.
Fair moneyline
A fair price for every upcoming match, with market open status beside it.
Bracket simulator
Exact draw simulation for any tournament. Completed results lock as they come in; open matches use market probabilities or your own numbers.
Laver Cup and player form
A dedicated Laver Cup format simulator, plus player form showing closing lines, game spreads and results match by match.
Mean error of 0.33 logit against the closing price on ATP and WTA moneylines across 15,100 matches, with surface offsets and rest penalties applied.
We do not sell picks. We sell the price. No guarantees of profit.