EFL Championship odds from a season simulation
Fair outright prices for the Championship: winner, top 2 and bottom 3. Compare them with any bookmaker's outright price and judge the gap yourself. Members see every club and every market.
Betting analysis tool. We publish fair prices, not tips.
| Club | Market | Prob | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough favourite | Winner | 33% | 3.06 |
| West Ham | Top 2 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Swansea outsider | Top 2 | 6% | 15.43 |
| Norwich long shot | Winner | 0.8% | 130 |
| Preston | Bottom 3 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Derby | Bottom 3 | 45% | 2.23 |
How the numbers are made
Team ratings are fitted to closing prices from the betting market, so they reflect what the market paid rather than our opinion.
The rest of the season is played out thousands of times from those ratings. A probability is the share of runs in which a club wins the league, finishes top 2 or ends in the bottom 3.
The fair price is 1 divided by that probability, with no bookmaker margin. It updates after every model update.
Betting analysis tool. We publish fair prices, not tips. No guarantees of profit. 18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.